Comments on: Predicting the future is hard https://lithoguru.com/life/?p=255 Musings of a Gentleman Scientist Mon, 30 Nov -001 00:00:00 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.5 By: David https://lithoguru.com/life/?p=255#comment-14208 Mon, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 #comment-14208 I think Kurzwell’s main point is that computers are evolving according to Moore’s Law, whereas human brains are evolving much more slowly, if at all. He’s off in his timing, and will be more so if Chris’s predictions about the end of Moore’s Law come to pass.

I doubt whether Arthur C Clarke predicted that by 2012 NASA would be unable to put a human into Earth Orbit, and that humanity would be relying on windmills and solar panels for our future energy needs.

So politics, economics and culture tend to throw off predictions based on technology alone. Which brings us back to EUV and 450mm 🙂

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